Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#114
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#107
Pace73.4#54
Improvement+0.4#153

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#55
First Shot+5.9#38
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks+0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#19
Freethrows+1.7#65
Improvement+0.2#173

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#233
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#224
Layups/Dunks-1.6#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#335
Freethrows+2.4#45
Improvement+0.2#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 250   Portland St. W 88-70 85%     1 - 0 +10.2 -0.5 +8.8
  Nov 13, 2016 301   Cal Poly W 96-74 91%     2 - 0 +10.5 +14.5 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2016 153   Northern Iowa L 63-82 60%     2 - 1 -18.4 -1.6 -17.6
  Nov 18, 2016 223   Tulane W 80-71 75%     3 - 1 +5.1 +8.0 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2016 87   Davidson L 60-68 40%     3 - 2 -2.4 -11.1 +8.9
  Nov 23, 2016 297   The Citadel W 127-110 90%     4 - 2 +5.8 +15.6 -13.8
  Nov 28, 2016 4   Kentucky L 69-115 7%     4 - 3 -26.0 -5.7 -13.4
  Dec 03, 2016 231   UNLV W 97-73 83%     5 - 3 +17.0 +19.7 -3.5
  Dec 06, 2016 16   Purdue L 64-97 9%     5 - 4 -15.4 -1.2 -13.4
  Dec 10, 2016 80   @ San Diego St. W 74-63 29%     6 - 4 +19.8 +11.6 +8.6
  Dec 17, 2016 90   New Mexico St. L 70-81 53%     6 - 5 -8.6 -5.2 -3.1
  Dec 20, 2016 27   Creighton L 85-96 20%     6 - 6 +1.1 +11.7 -9.7
  Dec 22, 2016 314   Central Arkansas W 98-62 92%     7 - 6 +23.2 +1.6 +16.9
  Dec 30, 2016 95   @ Stanford W 98-93 34%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +12.3 +27.2 -15.0
  Jan 01, 2017 57   @ California L 65-81 20%     8 - 7 1 - 1 -4.0 +7.6 -13.0
  Jan 05, 2017 72   Colorado W 78-77 42%     9 - 7 2 - 1 +6.2 +9.2 -3.0
  Jan 07, 2017 48   Utah L 82-88 31%     9 - 8 2 - 2 +2.3 +5.7 -3.0
  Jan 12, 2017 19   @ Arizona L 75-91 7%     9 - 9 2 - 3 +3.2 +15.9 -13.7
  Jan 19, 2017 12   @ UCLA L 80-102 6%     9 - 10 2 - 4 -1.7 +5.1 -4.5
  Jan 22, 2017 58   @ USC L 79-82 20%     9 - 11 2 - 5 +8.8 +10.8 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2017 156   Washington W 86-75 69%     10 - 11 3 - 5 +9.0 +6.7 +1.8
  Jan 29, 2017 171   Washington St. L 83-91 71%     10 - 12 3 - 6 -10.7 +6.0 -16.4
  Feb 02, 2017 14   @ Oregon L 70-71 6%     10 - 13 3 - 7 +19.2 +12.3 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2017 236   @ Oregon St. W 81-68 69%     11 - 13 4 - 7 +10.9 +12.0 -0.6
  Feb 08, 2017 57   California L 43-68 35%     11 - 14 4 - 8 -18.1 -18.0 -2.6
  Feb 11, 2017 95   Stanford W 75-69 53%     12 - 14 5 - 8 +8.2 +2.7 +5.4
  Feb 16, 2017 156   @ Washington W 83-81 50%     13 - 14 6 - 8 +5.0 +7.0 -2.0
  Feb 18, 2017 171   @ Washington St. L 71-86 53%     13 - 15 6 - 9 -12.6 +0.6 -13.5
  Feb 23, 2017 12   UCLA L 75-87 13%     13 - 16 6 - 10 +3.2 +2.7 +1.0
  Feb 26, 2017 58   USC W 83-82 36%     14 - 16 7 - 10 +7.8 +16.6 -8.8
  Mar 04, 2017 19   Arizona L 60-73 15%     14 - 17 7 - 11 +1.1 -1.6 +1.8
  Mar 08, 2017 95   Stanford W 98-88 OT 43%     15 - 17 +14.8 +21.8 -7.7
  Mar 09, 2017 14   Oregon L 57-80 9%     15 - 18 -5.3 -3.1 -4.1
Projected Record 15.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%